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EMDEsEMDEs
+2+2
Sovereign Stress Tracker: Argentina's stunning turnaround
Nov 28, 2024

Sovereign Stress Tracker: Argentina's stunning turnaround

Argentina is the Tracker's most-improved country thanks to astonishing economic policy results

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
EMDEsEMDEs
+1+1
EM sovereign strains inch upward in 2024, but remain historically low
Nov 21, 2024

EM sovereign strains inch upward in 2024, but remain historically low

Asset class maturity is evident in EM amid the post-pandemic inflationary shock

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
CurrenciesCurrencies
+7+7
Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets
Nov 14, 2024

Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets

Tariffs, deglobalization set to shift growth from EMs to the U.S.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+3+3
Trump's red wave puts emerging markets under water
Nov 07, 2024

Trump's red wave puts emerging markets under water

Double-whammy of higher U.S. yields and stronger dollar, with peak deglobalization still to come

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
LICsLICs
+2+2
Emerging economies adrift in a high-debt world
Oct 31, 2024

Emerging economies adrift in a high-debt world

With global public debt at $100 trillion, many countries need more IMF-World Bank help.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+4+4
Rising uncertainty fails to rattle global markets
Oct 24, 2024

Rising uncertainty fails to rattle global markets

High economic-political uncertainty paired with low volatility amplifies market risks

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
InflationInflation
+1+1
Which emerging markets have an inflation problem?
Oct 17, 2024

Which emerging markets have an inflation problem?

Rampant inflation is most prevalent in lower-middle income countries, except for Argentina and Turkey

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
EMDEsEMDEs
+1+1
Volatile US Treasuries spell trouble for emerging market debt
Oct 10, 2024

Volatile US Treasuries spell trouble for emerging market debt

The Fed's data-dependence is clouding EM's mostly-benign cutting cycle outlook

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
IranIran
+4+4
Should investors worry about Israel-Iran?
Oct 03, 2024

Should investors worry about Israel-Iran?

The recent escalation presents downside market risks, albeit these are limited.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
Sri LankaSri Lanka
+3+3
Sri Lanka Election: Any Port in a Storm
Sep 26, 2024

Sri Lanka Election: Any Port in a Storm

Markets cautious on newly-elected President Dissanayake, renegotiations

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
Is the Washington Consensus Dead?
Sep 19, 2024

Is the Washington Consensus Dead?

Small island states and large emerging markets have the biggest budget deficits in 2024

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+1+1
Where is emerging market growth fastest?
Sep 12, 2024

Where is emerging market growth fastest?

EM convergence to rich-world wealth levels is concentrated in Europe and Asia

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
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Global Markets, Identifying Opportunities, Navigating Risk

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