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Currencies

+1

A New Safe Haven Framework for a Multipolar World

Jun 16, 2025

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11 min read

A New Safe Haven Framework for a Multipolar World

Trump could well be ushering in a golden age for emerging market assets.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+4

What currency strength means for sovereign creditworthiness

May 23, 2025

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12 min read

What currency strength means for sovereign creditworthiness

Have a weaker dollar and the Covid inflation hangover eroded EM competitiveness?

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+1

Tariff announcement drives market rout

Apr 4, 2025

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12 min read

Tariff announcement drives market rout

The U.S. tariff bazooka rips through global markets as investors flock to havens

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+7

Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets

Nov 14, 2024

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9 min read

Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets

Tariffs, deglobalization set to shift growth from EMs to the U.S.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+4

Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?

Jul 13, 2024

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8 min read

Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?

Rampant inflation and booming credit are causing external imbalances

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+5

Egypt: short-term pain, long-term gain

May 13, 2024

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14 min read

Egypt: short-term pain, long-term gain

Famous last words, but this time could be different.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+6

The dollar-debt imbalance

Apr 22, 2024

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10 min read

The dollar-debt imbalance

Unsustainable USD dominance here to stay

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+5

Rise of the yuan? Not so fast.

Apr 1, 2024

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7 min read

Rise of the yuan? Not so fast.

The yen, euro, sterling, CAD & AUD are displacing the dollar by even more.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in EM Asia

Mar 14, 2024

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4 min read

Fair value exchange rates in EM Asia

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in LatAm

Feb 20, 2024

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4 min read

Fair value exchange rates in LatAm

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in CEEMEA

Feb 14, 2024

•

3 min read

Fair value exchange rates in CEEMEA

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
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