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FX

Currencies

+7

Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets

Nov 14, 2024

•

9 min read

Sink or swim: Trump 2.0 reality confronts emerging markets

Tariffs, deglobalization set to shift growth from EMs to the U.S.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

FX

+2

Reserve flunkies

Aug 2, 2024

•

7 min read

Reserve flunkies

It's not just the usual suspects: some oil exporters also have low official reserves levels

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+4

Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?

Jul 13, 2024

•

8 min read

Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?

Rampant inflation and booming credit are causing external imbalances

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+5

Egypt: short-term pain, long-term gain

May 13, 2024

•

14 min read

Egypt: short-term pain, long-term gain

Famous last words, but this time could be different.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

FX

+3

Are markets underpricing geopolitical risks?

Apr 25, 2024

•

10 min read

Are markets underpricing geopolitical risks?

Oil prices have actually declined in the wake of Iran-Israel

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+6

The dollar-debt imbalance

Apr 22, 2024

•

10 min read

The dollar-debt imbalance

Unsustainable USD dominance here to stay

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+5

Rise of the yuan? Not so fast.

Apr 1, 2024

•

7 min read

Rise of the yuan? Not so fast.

The yen, euro, sterling, CAD & AUD are displacing the dollar by even more.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in EM Asia

Mar 14, 2024

•

4 min read

Fair value exchange rates in EM Asia

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in LatAm

Feb 20, 2024

•

4 min read

Fair value exchange rates in LatAm

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

+2

Fair value exchange rates in CEEMEA

Feb 14, 2024

•

3 min read

Fair value exchange rates in CEEMEA

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
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