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LICsLICs
+2+2
Emerging economies adrift in a high-debt world
Oct 31, 2024

Emerging economies adrift in a high-debt world

With global public debt at $100 trillion, many countries need more IMF-World Bank help.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+4+4
Rising uncertainty fails to rattle global markets
Oct 24, 2024

Rising uncertainty fails to rattle global markets

High economic-political uncertainty paired with low volatility amplifies market risks

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
InflationInflation
+1+1
Which emerging markets have an inflation problem?
Oct 17, 2024

Which emerging markets have an inflation problem?

Rampant inflation is most prevalent in lower-middle income countries, except for Argentina and Turkey

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
EMDEsEMDEs
+1+1
Volatile US Treasuries spell trouble for emerging market debt
Oct 10, 2024

Volatile US Treasuries spell trouble for emerging market debt

The Fed's data-dependence is clouding EM's mostly-benign cutting cycle outlook

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
IranIran
+4+4
Should investors worry about Israel-Iran?
Oct 03, 2024

Should investors worry about Israel-Iran?

The recent escalation presents downside market risks, albeit these are limited.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
Sri LankaSri Lanka
+3+3
Sri Lanka Election: Any Port in a Storm
Sep 26, 2024

Sri Lanka Election: Any Port in a Storm

Markets cautious on newly-elected President Dissanayake, renegotiations

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
Is the Washington Consensus Dead?
Sep 19, 2024

Is the Washington Consensus Dead?

Small island states and large emerging markets have the biggest budget deficits in 2024

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+1+1
Where is emerging market growth fastest?
Sep 12, 2024

Where is emerging market growth fastest?

EM convergence to rich-world wealth levels is concentrated in Europe and Asia

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
DeglobalizationDeglobalization
+2+2
Right-wing populism on the rise in EM
Aug 18, 2024

Right-wing populism on the rise in EM

2024: string of electoral victories for right-wing populists across emerging markets

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
FXFX
+2+2
Reserve flunkies
Aug 02, 2024

Reserve flunkies

It's not just the usual suspects: some oil exporters also have low official reserves levels

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
The IMF's "extend and pretend" deal with Pakistan
Jul 26, 2024

The IMF's "extend and pretend" deal with Pakistan

Instead of "one and done", Islamabad and the Fund kick the can down the road.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
CurrenciesCurrencies
+4+4
Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?
Jul 13, 2024

Is another crisis brewing in Turkey?

Rampant inflation and booming credit are causing external imbalances

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
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