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InflationInflation
+4+4
Tariffs poised to re-ignite U.S. inflation
Apr 19, 2025

Tariffs poised to re-ignite U.S. inflation

Trump's levies could send U.S. inflation 1.4 percentage points higher.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
AEsAEs
+4+4
The role reversal in emerging and mature markets
Mar 06, 2025

The role reversal in emerging and mature markets

Blundering policy volatility has receded in many EMs but increased in the G7.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
De-dollarizationDe-dollarization
+4+4
Why Trump's tariffs aren't all bad
Jan 27, 2025

Why Trump's tariffs aren't all bad

Global trade imbalances are out of control and need to be reined in.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
RussiaRussia
+3+3
Can European governments meet Trump’s defense spending demands?
Jan 16, 2025

Can European governments meet Trump’s defense spending demands?

The incoming U.S. President has set a 5% of GDP defense expenditure threshold.

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+3+3
Which emerging markets have the best demographic growth?
Dec 05, 2024

Which emerging markets have the best demographic growth?

Many - but not all - emerging markets are set to benefit from demographic tailwinds

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
The $20 trillion investment gap
Jul 03, 2024

The $20 trillion investment gap

Does international investment into the US cause asset bubbles?

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+5+5
Is the G7 the new EM?
Jun 26, 2024

Is the G7 the new EM?

The "new" emerging markets: rich-world malaise reflects globalization's discontents

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
EM is ahead of DM in the global credit cycle
May 06, 2024

EM is ahead of DM in the global credit cycle

Amid negative credit gaps everywhere, inflections mostly in EM

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
InflationInflation
+2+2
Supply constraints are driving US inflation
May 02, 2024

Supply constraints are driving US inflation

Higher for (a bit) longer, but don't buy into inflationista hype

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+2+2
Wall Street's fear gauge rises
Apr 18, 2024

Wall Street's fear gauge rises

Plus IMF/WB Spring Meetings policy updates

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
MacroMacro
+1+1
Central banks to weigh on 2024 markets
Apr 11, 2024

Central banks to weigh on 2024 markets

Decreasing central bank asset purchases withdraw market liquidity

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
AEsAEs
+2+2
2024 Elections - Global Snapshot
Apr 09, 2024

2024 Elections - Global Snapshot

Populist forces on the march

Paul Della Guardia
Paul Della Guardia
Global Markets, Identifying Opportunities, Navigating Risk

SOVEREIGN VIBE

Global Markets, Identifying Opportunities, Navigating Risk

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