Archive

Can tariffs result in higher imported inflation?

Trump's levies could send U.S. inflation 1.4 percentage points higher.

Paul Della Guardia

AdvancedEconomies

The time for geographic diversification is now

Apr 11, 2025

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9 min read

The time for geographic diversification is now

U.S. Treasuries lose their safe haven status amid a secular rotation away from U.S. assets

Paul Della Guardia

Currencies

Apr 4, 2025

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12 min read

Tariff announcement drives market rout

The U.S. tariff bazooka rips through global markets as investors flock to havens

Paul Della Guardia

Deglobalization

Mar 27, 2025

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10 min read

Chilly market reaction to auto tariffs

DXY and SPX are both down again but don't tend to stay down together for long.

Paul Della Guardia

UAE

Mar 23, 2025

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8 min read

Investors search for trade war havens

Allocators eye tariff spat hedges but spare U.S. and Canadian government bonds.

Paul Della Guardia

Deglobalization

Mar 13, 2025

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8 min read

The Times They Are a-Changin'

EM sovereign debt will no longer be the exclusive focus of this newsletter.

Paul Della Guardia

AEs

The role reversal in emerging and mature markets

Mar 6, 2025

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13 min read

The role reversal in emerging and mature markets

Policy volatility has receded in many EMs but increased in the G7.

Paul Della Guardia

Russia

Feb 27, 2025

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14 min read

Mr. Zelensky goes to Washington

The Ukrainian president will sign a minerals agreement with Donald Trump on Friday.

Paul Della Guardia

Brazil

How are EM investors navigating 2025's policy minefield?

Feb 20, 2025

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14 min read

How are EM investors navigating 2025's policy minefield?

Opportunities still to be found despite heightened risks to FMs and local currency.

Paul Della Guardia

Kyrgyzstan

Jan 30, 2025

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11 min read

Kyrgyzstan plans maiden Eurobond amid sanctions controversy

The Central Asian republic is aiming to place a $1.7bn debut hard currency bond as sanctions-busting accusations mount.

Paul Della Guardia

De-dollarization

Jan 26, 2025

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12 min read

Why Trump's tariffs aren't that bad

Global trade imbalances are out of control and need to be reined in.

Paul Della Guardia

Russia

Can European governments meet Trump’s defense spending demands?

Jan 16, 2025

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12 min read

Can European governments meet Trump’s defense spending demands?

The incoming U.S. President has set a 5% of GDP defense expenditure threshold.

Paul Della Guardia

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Can tariffs result in higher imported inflation?

The time for geographic diversification is now

Tariff announcement drives market rout

Chilly market reaction to auto tariffs

Investors search for trade war havens

The Times They Are a-Changin'

The role reversal in emerging and mature markets

Mr. Zelensky goes to Washington

How are EM investors navigating 2025's policy minefield?

Kyrgyzstan plans maiden Eurobond amid sanctions controversy

Why Trump's tariffs aren't that bad

Can European governments meet Trump’s defense spending demands?

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